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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kristian Rothaermel vs Mataeo Garner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record4-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamInferno MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kristian RothaermelNow 1511
If they win+24→ 1535
If they lose-24→ 1487
Mataeo GarnerNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.75
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
41%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kristian RothaermelMataeo Garner
1500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
2 (50%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Mataeo Garner61%
Kristian Rothaermel 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mataeo Garner a 61% favorite over Kristian Rothaermel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kristian Rothaermel's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1507), separated by just 4 points.

Mataeo Garner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kristian Rothaermel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mataeo Garner 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.