Kristians Boguzs vs Nicolae Bivol
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReach72.4"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kristians BoguzsNicolae Bivol
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolae Bivol54%
Kristians Boguzs 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolae Bivol a 54% favorite over Kristians Boguzs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kristians Boguzs's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Kristians Boguzs enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kristians Boguzs finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Bivol 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.