Krzysztof Jotko vs Marc-André Barriault
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record17-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marc-André Barriault carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1753
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-8→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Krzysztof JotkoMarc-André Barriault
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Krzysztof Jotko92%
Marc-André Barriault 8%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 92% favorite over Marc-André Barriault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1638, a 131-point edge.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.
Krzysztof Jotko carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.