Combat Edge Intelligence

Krzysztof Jotko vs Nassourdine Imavov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Nassourdine Imavov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Krzysztof Jotko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Krzysztof JotkoNow 1771
If they win+13→ 1784
If they lose-11→ 1760
Nassourdine ImavovNow 1788
If they win+15→ 1803
If they lose-17→ 1771

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.98
Sig. strikes / min
4.45
43%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
57%
Strike defense
59%
1.33
Takedown avg.
0.85
19%
Takedown accuracy
32%
82%
Takedown defense
79%
0.07
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Krzysztof JotkoNassourdine Imavov
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
2 (7%)
Submission
4 (24%)
20 (67%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Nassourdine Imavov59%
Krzysztof Jotko 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Nassourdine Imavov a 59% favorite over Krzysztof Jotko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Nassourdine Imavov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1771, a 17-point edge.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nassourdine Imavov 65%.

Krzysztof Jotko and Nassourdine Imavov share 2 common opponents: Brendan Allen and Sean Strickland.

Krzysztof Jotko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossSubmission · 2022
Brendan Allen
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Sean Strickland
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023