Krzysztof Jotko vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record26-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1785
If they lose-12→ 1761
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Krzysztof JotkoNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Krzysztof Jotko and Nick Diaz within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1773 vs 1766), separated by just 7 points.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Nick Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.