Combat Edge Intelligence

Krzysztof Jotko vs Tamdan McCrory

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
77"Reach78,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCNY MMA

What's at stake

Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Tamdan McCrory carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+8→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1753
Tamdan McCroryNow 1642
If they win+22→ 1664
If they lose-10→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.98
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
43%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.60
57%
Strike defense
47%
1.33
Takedown avg.
2.28
19%
Takedown accuracy
50%
82%
Takedown defense
33%
0.07
Submission avg.
2.47

Trajectory

Krzysztof JotkoTamdan McCrory
165017001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
2 (7%)
Submission
5 (36%)
20 (67%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko92%
Tamdan McCrory 8%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 92% favorite over Tamdan McCrory in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1642, a 127-point edge.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Tamdan McCrory enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tamdan McCrory 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.