Krzysztof Jotko vs Thales Leites
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-6-0Record28-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach78,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Krzysztof JotkoThales Leites
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Krzysztof Jotko70%
Thales Leites 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 70% favorite over Thales Leites in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thales Leites's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1744), separated by just 1 points.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Krzysztof Jotko finishes 34% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.