Krzysztof Jotko vs Thales Leites
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record28-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach78,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Thales Leites carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1784
If they lose-13→ 1760
If they win+13→ 1758
If they lose-11→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Krzysztof JotkoThales Leites
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Krzysztof Jotko60%
Thales Leites 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 60% favorite over Thales Leites in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1773 to 1745, a 28-point edge.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.