Krzysztof Jotko vs Tor Troeng
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record16-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight184 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRenyi
What's at stake
Krzysztof Jotko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tor Troeng carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1776
If they lose-17→ 1752
If they win+23→ 1636
If they lose-9→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Krzysztof JotkoTor Troeng
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Krzysztof Jotko92%
Tor Troeng 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 92% favorite over Tor Troeng in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Krzysztof Jotko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1613, a 156-point edge.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Tor Troeng enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Krzysztof Jotko finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Tor Troeng 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.