Combat Edge Intelligence

Krzysztof Soszynski vs Stephan Bonnar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Stephan Bonnar
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Stephan Bonnar

“The American Psycho”

15-9-0Light Heavyweight

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

26-12-1Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Reign MMATeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Krzysztof SoszynskiNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Stephan BonnarNow 1613
If they win+17→ 1630
If they lose-15→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.58
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
41%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
59%
Strike defense
52%
0.56
Takedown avg.
1.32
27%
Takedown accuracy
40%
72%
Takedown defense
60%
1.12
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Krzysztof SoszynskiStephan Bonnar
16001650200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
10 (42%)
Submission
7 (47%)
3 (13%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephan Bonnar53%
Krzysztof Soszynski 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephan Bonnar a 53% favorite over Krzysztof Soszynski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Krzysztof Soszynski's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1613), separated by just 14 points.

Krzysztof Soszynski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stephan Bonnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Krzysztof Soszynski finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Stephan Bonnar 67%.

Krzysztof Soszynski and Stephan Bonnar share 1 common opponent: Igor Pokrajac.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2011
Igor Pokrajac
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2010