Combat Edge Intelligence

Kurt Holobaugh vs Leo Kuntz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leo Kuntz
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Leo Kuntz

“The Lion”

19-4-1LightweightNIF

1656Good

Tale of the tape

21-10-0Record19-4-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie UnitedTeamDaru Strong Performance Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kurt HolobaughNow 1657
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Leo KuntzNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
45%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
50%
Strike defense
46%
0.66
Takedown avg.
1.99
33%
Takedown accuracy
25%
39%
Takedown defense
33%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Kurt HolobaughLeo Kuntz
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
10 (48%)
Submission
5 (28%)
4 (19%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Leo Kuntz53%
Kurt Holobaugh 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leo Kuntz a 53% favorite over Kurt Holobaugh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kurt Holobaugh's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1656), separated by just 1 points.

Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kurt Holobaugh finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Leo Kuntz 78%.

Leo Kuntz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.