Combat Edge Intelligence

Kurt Holobaugh vs Piotr Hallmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-10-0Record19-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach41,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie UnitedTeamMighty Bulls Gdynia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kurt HolobaughNow 1657
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Piotr HallmannNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.98
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.17
50%
Strike defense
59%
0.66
Takedown avg.
2.55
33%
Takedown accuracy
44%
39%
Takedown defense
71%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Kurt HolobaughPiotr Hallmann
165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
10 (48%)
Submission
7 (37%)
4 (19%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Piotr Hallmann60%
Kurt Holobaugh 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Hallmann a 60% favorite over Kurt Holobaugh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kurt Holobaugh's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.

Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Piotr Hallmann enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kurt Holobaugh finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Hallmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.