Kurt Holobaugh vs Steven Siler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-10-0Record33-26-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gracie UnitedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Kurt Holobaugh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Steven Siler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1644
If they win+15→ 1578
If they lose-9→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kurt HolobaughSteven Siler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kurt Holobaugh and Steven Siler within a point of even.
Kurt Holobaugh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1563, a 96-point edge.
Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steven Siler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kurt Holobaugh finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Steven Siler 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.