Combat Edge Intelligence

Kurt Holobaugh vs Steven Siler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-10-0Record33-26-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gracie UnitedTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Kurt Holobaugh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Steven Siler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kurt HolobaughNow 1658
If they win+9→ 1667
If they lose-15→ 1643
Steven SilerNow 1564
If they win+15→ 1579
If they lose-9→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
50%
Strike defense
55%
0.66
Takedown avg.
0.47
33%
Takedown accuracy
21%
39%
Takedown defense
55%
0.79
Submission avg.
1.58

Trajectory

Kurt HolobaughSteven Siler
15501600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (19%)
10 (48%)
Submission
18 (56%)
4 (19%)
Decision
8 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kurt Holobaugh70%
Steven Siler 30%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Holobaugh a 70% favorite over Steven Siler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Kurt Holobaugh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1564, a 94-point edge.

Kurt Holobaugh enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Steven Siler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kurt Holobaugh finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Steven Siler 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.