Kurt Pellegrino vs Nate Mohr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record9-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamTeam Curran
What's at stake
Kurt Pellegrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Nate Mohr carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-20→ 1599
If they win+20→ 1544
If they lose-12→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kurt PellegrinoNate Mohr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurt Pellegrino58%
Nate Mohr 42%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 58% favorite over Nate Mohr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Kurt Pellegrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1524, a 95-point edge.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kurt Pellegrino finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nate Mohr 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.