Kurt Pellegrino vs Rob Emerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record21-15-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Kurt Pellegrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rob Emerson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1629
If they lose-22→ 1597
If they win+22→ 1498
If they lose-10→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kurt PellegrinoRob Emerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurt Pellegrino61%
Rob Emerson 39%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 61% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Kurt Pellegrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1476, a 143-point edge.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kurt Pellegrino finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.