Combat Edge Intelligence

Kurtis Campbell vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
The MMA Academy LiverpoolTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kurtis CampbellNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Mads BurnellNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
48%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
51%
Strike defense
51%
8.76
Takedown avg.
3.45
20%
Takedown accuracy
47%
50%
Takedown defense
22%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Kurtis CampbellMads Burnell
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
1 (13%)
Submission
9 (47%)
2 (25%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Kurtis Campbell67%
Mads Burnell 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kurtis Campbell a 67% favorite over Mads Burnell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mads Burnell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1656), separated by just 2 points.

Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kurtis Campbell finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Kurtis Campbell carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.