Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Bradley vs Phillipe Nover

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record11-8-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach72,0"
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team VoodooTeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

Phillipe Nover is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Kyle Bradley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyle BradleyNow 1553
If they win+15→ 1568
If they lose-9→ 1544
Phillipe NoverNow 1648
If they win+12→ 1660
If they lose-20→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.99
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
40%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.48
59%
Strike defense
56%
0.65
Takedown avg.
0.99
50%
Takedown accuracy
29%
40%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Kyle BradleyPhillipe Nover
15501600165017002014201520162017

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
7 (35%)
Submission
5 (45%)
2 (10%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Phillipe Nover72%
Kyle Bradley 28%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Phillipe Nover a 72% favorite over Kyle Bradley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Phillipe Nover holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1553, a 95-point edge.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Bradley finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Phillipe Nover 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.