Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Bradley vs Rafael dos Anjos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record32-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team VoodooTeamRDA Academy

What's at stake

Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Kyle Bradley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyle BradleyNow 1553
If they win+17→ 1570
If they lose-7→ 1546
Rafael dos AnjosNow 1713
If they win+7→ 1720
If they lose-17→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
40%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
59%
Strike defense
60%
0.65
Takedown avg.
1.95
50%
Takedown accuracy
36%
40%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Kyle BradleyRafael dos Anjos
1550160016501700175020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
7 (35%)
Submission
11 (34%)
2 (10%)
Decision
16 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael dos Anjos78%
Kyle Bradley 22%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 78% favorite over Kyle Bradley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1553, a 160-point edge.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Bradley finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.