Kyle Daukaus vs Marc-André Barriault
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Martinez BJJTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marc-André Barriault carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1728
If they lose-20→ 1696
If they win+15→ 1652
If they lose-9→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle DaukausMarc-André Barriault
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Daukaus80%
Marc-André Barriault 20%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 80% favorite over Marc-André Barriault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1637, a 79-point edge.
Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyle Daukaus finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.
Kyle Daukaus and Marc-André Barriault share 1 common opponent: Eryk Anders.
Kyle Daukaus carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.