Kyle Daukaus vs Michel Pereira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
What's at stake
Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michel Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1731
If they lose-17→ 1699
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-11→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle DaukausMichel Pereira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michel Pereira60%
Kyle Daukaus 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Michel Pereira a 60% favorite over Kyle Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Daukaus's way (47%).
Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1697, a 19-point edge.
Kyle Daukaus finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.
Kyle Daukaus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.