Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Daukaus vs Michel Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
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Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Martinez BJJTeamOvercome Academy

What's at stake

Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michel Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+15→ 1731
If they lose-17→ 1699
Michel PereiraNow 1692
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-11→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
53%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
43%
Strike defense
51%
2.08
Takedown avg.
1.21
26%
Takedown accuracy
57%
83%
Takedown defense
76%
2.08
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Kyle DaukausMichel Pereira
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
11 (34%)
12 (71%)
Submission
9 (28%)
3 (18%)
Decision
12 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kyle Daukaus and Michel Pereira within a point of even.

Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1692, a 24-point edge.

Kyle Daukaus finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.

Kyle Daukaus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.