Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Daukaus vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
us

Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Martinez BJJTeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Roman KopylovNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
53%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
43%
Strike defense
52%
2.08
Takedown avg.
1.14
26%
Takedown accuracy
48%
83%
Takedown defense
89%
2.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kyle DaukausRoman Kopylov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (12%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
12 (71%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (18%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Daukaus51%
Roman Kopylov 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 51% favorite over Roman Kopylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1713), separated by just 3 points.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kyle Daukaus finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.