Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Kingsbury vs Ricardo Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAMA Fight Club

What's at stake

Ricardo Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kyle Kingsbury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyle KingsburyNow 1587
If they win+19→ 1606
If they lose-13→ 1574
Ricardo RomeroNow 1642
If they win+13→ 1655
If they lose-19→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
41%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.77
51%
Strike defense
46%
2.64
Takedown avg.
1.63
42%
Takedown accuracy
10%
52%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
3.26

Trajectory

Kyle KingsburyRicardo Romero
16001650170020102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
2 (18%)
Submission
6 (55%)
5 (45%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Romero60%
Kyle Kingsbury 40%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Romero a 60% favorite over Kyle Kingsbury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ricardo Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1587, a 55-point edge.

Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Ricardo Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Kingsbury finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Romero 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.