Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Kingsbury vs Ruslan Gabaraev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle KingsburyNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Ruslan GabaraevNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.97
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
52%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kyle KingsburyRuslan Gabaraev
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Gabaraev63%
Kyle Kingsbury 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Gabaraev a 63% favorite over Kyle Kingsbury in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Kingsbury's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.

Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Kyle Kingsbury finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Gabaraev 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.