Kyle Kingsbury vs Tom Lawlor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record11-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamThe Jungle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle KingsburyTom Lawlor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Lawlor52%
Kyle Kingsbury 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Lawlor a 52% favorite over Kyle Kingsbury in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Kingsbury's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.
Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Kyle Kingsbury finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.