Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Nelson vs Ramazan Ragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Nelson
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Kyle Nelson

“The Monster”

17-7-1LightweightUFC

1669Good

Tale of the tape

17-7-1Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"HeightTBD
71"Reach-
149 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle NelsonNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
Ramazan RagimovNow 1668
If they win+24→ 1692
If they lose-24→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
1.18
Takedown avg.
Not available
23%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.52
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kyle NelsonRamazan Ragimov
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (24%)
Submission
3 (38%)
7 (41%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Nelson65%
Ramazan Ragimov 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Nelson a 65% favorite over Ramazan Ragimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.

Ramazan Ragimov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Kyle Nelson finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ramazan Ragimov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.