Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Noblitt vs Rodrigo Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record11-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach80"
243 lbsWeight265 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle NoblittNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.02
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
61%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Kyle NoblittRodrigo Nascimento
165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (40%)
Submission
6 (55%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Nascimento52%
Kyle Noblitt 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 52% favorite over Kyle Noblitt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.

Kyle Noblitt enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kyle Noblitt finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.