Kyle Noke vs Patrick Cote
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBTT Canada
What's at stake
Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kyle Noke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-9→ 1631
If they win+9→ 1737
If they lose-15→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle NokePatrick Cote
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cote78%
Kyle Noke 22%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 78% favorite over Kyle Noke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1640, a 88-point edge.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyle Noke finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.