Kyle Noke vs Phil Rowe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76,0"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle NokePhil Rowe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Rowe70%
Kyle Noke 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Rowe a 70% favorite over Kyle Noke in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Noke's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1638), separated by just 2 points.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyle Noke finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.
Phil Rowe carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.