Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Noke vs Rob Kimmons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kyle Noke
au

Kyle Noke

“KO”

22-10-1WelterweightUFC

1640Solid
Rob Kimmons
us

Rob Kimmons

“The Rosedale Reaper”

25-9-0WelterweightEFN

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

22-10-1Record25-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
76,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamK2L Grindhouse

What's at stake

Kyle Noke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rob Kimmons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyle NokeNow 1640
If they win+10→ 1650
If they lose-14→ 1626
Rob KimmonsNow 1589
If they win+14→ 1603
If they lose-10→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
1.86
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
64%
Strike defense
38%
1.53
Takedown avg.
2.08
55%
Takedown accuracy
47%
67%
Takedown defense
25%
0.76
Submission avg.
2.37

Trajectory

Kyle NokeRob Kimmons
16001650201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
7 (32%)
Submission
16 (64%)
6 (27%)
Decision
4 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Noke56%
Rob Kimmons 44%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Noke a 56% favorite over Rob Kimmons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Kyle Noke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1589, a 51-point edge.

Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Noke finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rob Kimmons 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.