Kyle Prepolec vs Mateusz Rębecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-11-0Record21-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training CentreTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Mateusz Rębecki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Kyle Prepolec carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1582
If they lose-7→ 1558
If they win+7→ 1744
If they lose-17→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle PrepolecMateusz Rębecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Rębecki85%
Kyle Prepolec 15%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Rębecki a 85% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Mateusz Rębecki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1565, a 172-point edge.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Rębecki 81%.
Kyle Prepolec carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.