Kyle Prepolec vs Mike Rio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-0Record10-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training CentreTeamZen Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle PrepolecMike Rio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Prepolec64%
Mike Rio 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 64% favorite over Mike Rio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Rio's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rio 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.