Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Stewart vs Tim Means

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record33-17-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
42,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle StewartNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
35%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
43%
Strike defense
60%
1.32
Takedown avg.
1.14
20%
Takedown accuracy
40%
60%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Kyle StewartTim Means
1650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
20 (61%)
3 (20%)
Submission
5 (15%)
5 (33%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Stewart72%
Tim Means 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Stewart a 72% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Stewart finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.