Kyle Watson vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-1Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
HIT SquadTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle WatsonNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niklas Stolze62%
Kyle Watson 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niklas Stolze a 62% favorite over Kyle Watson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1526), separated by just 2 points.
Kyle Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyle Watson finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.