Kyle Watson vs Sako Chivitchian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Sako Chivitchian
Elo1479AverageTale of the tape
13-8-1Record0-0-0
LightweightDivisionTBD
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeightTBD
HIT SquadTeamTBD
What's at stake
Kyle Watson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sako Chivitchian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1538
If they lose-18→ 1506
If they win+27→ 1506
If they lose-21→ 1458
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyle WatsonSako Chivitchian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sako Chivitchian54%
Kyle Watson 46%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Sako Chivitchian a 54% favorite over Kyle Watson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Watson's way (44%).
Kyle Watson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1479, a 45-point edge.
Kyle Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyle Watson finishes 92% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.