Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyler Phillips vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
72"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamLaerte Barcelos Team

What's at stake

Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Kyler Phillips carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyler PhillipsNow 1685
If they win+20→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1673
Raoni BarcelosNow 1780
If they win+12→ 1792
If they lose-20→ 1760

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
44%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
61%
Strike defense
61%
2.63
Takedown avg.
2.22
51%
Takedown accuracy
31%
76%
Takedown defense
88%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Kyler PhillipsRaoni Barcelos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (14%)
5 (42%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos62%
Kyler Phillips 38%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 62% favorite over Kyler Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1685, a 95-point edge.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Kyler Phillips finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Kyler Phillips carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.