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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyler Phillips vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
72"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kyler Phillips carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyler PhillipsNow 1686
If they win+19→ 1705
If they lose-13→ 1673
Raoni BarcelosNow 1759
If they win+10→ 1769
If they lose-14→ 1745

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
44%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
61%
Strike defense
61%
2.63
Takedown avg.
2.51
51%
Takedown accuracy
3%
76%
Takedown defense
88%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Kyler PhillipsRaoni Barcelos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (14%)
5 (42%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos51%
Kyler Phillips 49%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 51% favorite over Kyler Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1686, a 73-point edge.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyler Phillips finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Kyler Phillips carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.