Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyler Phillips vs Raulian Paiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record23-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Kyler Phillips is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Raulian Paiva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyler PhillipsNow 1685
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-18→ 1667
Raulian PaivaNow 1648
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
44%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.01
61%
Strike defense
49%
2.63
Takedown avg.
0.65
51%
Takedown accuracy
24%
76%
Takedown defense
77%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Kyler PhillipsRaulian Paiva
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (13%)
5 (42%)
Decision
16 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyler Phillips66%
Raulian Paiva 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyler Phillips a 66% favorite over Raulian Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Kyler Phillips holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1648, a 37-point edge.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyler Phillips finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Raulian Paiva 30%.

Kyler Phillips carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.