Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyler Phillips vs Tony Gravely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record23-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
72"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyler PhillipsNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Tony GravelyNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.28
Sig. strikes / min
3.82
44%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.47
61%
Strike defense
44%
2.63
Takedown avg.
5.40
51%
Takedown accuracy
42%
76%
Takedown defense
52%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Kyler PhillipsTony Gravely
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (13%)
5 (42%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyler Phillips62%
Tony Gravely 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyler Phillips a 62% favorite over Tony Gravely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1684), separated by just 1 points.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyler Phillips finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.

Kyler Phillips carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.