Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record24-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamSombra Team

What's at stake

Vinicius Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kyler Phillips carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyler PhillipsNow 1685
If they win+18→ 1703
If they lose-14→ 1671
Vinicius OliveiraNow 1739
If they win+14→ 1753
If they lose-18→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
61%
Strike defense
57%
2.63
Takedown avg.
1.45
51%
Takedown accuracy
47%
76%
Takedown defense
70%
0.42
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Kyler PhillipsVinicius Oliveira
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
17 (71%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (8%)
5 (42%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Vinicius Oliveira67%
Kyler Phillips 33%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Oliveira a 67% favorite over Kyler Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Vinicius Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1685, a 54-point edge.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyler Phillips finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Oliveira 79%.

Kyler Phillips carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.