Kyohei Hagiwara vs Ning Guangyou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-12-0Record5-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'5"
71.1"Reach64.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team SmokerTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1496
If they lose-16→ 1464
If they win+24→ 1507
If they lose-24→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyohei HagiwaraNing Guangyou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyohei Hagiwara61%
Ning Guangyou 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 61% favorite over Ning Guangyou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ning Guangyou's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1480 vs 1483), separated by just 3 points.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ning Guangyou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ning Guangyou 80%.
Kyohei Hagiwara carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.