Kyohei Hagiwara vs Rocky Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-12-0Record4-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71.1"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Kyohei Hagiwara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Rocky Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1494
If they lose-18→ 1462
If they win+18→ 1450
If they lose-14→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyohei HagiwaraRocky Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyohei Hagiwara78%
Rocky Lee 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 78% favorite over Rocky Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Kyohei Hagiwara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1480 to 1432, a 48-point edge.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rocky Lee enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rocky Lee 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.