Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyohei Hagiwara vs Sam Debalke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-12-0Record1-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"HeightTBD
71.1"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team SmokerTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyohei HagiwaraNow 1479
If they win+16→ 1495
If they lose-16→ 1463
Sam DebalkeNow 1475
If they win+24→ 1499
If they lose-24→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kyohei HagiwaraSam Debalke
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyohei Hagiwara56%
Sam Debalke 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 56% favorite over Sam Debalke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1479 vs 1475), separated by just 4 points.

Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyohei Hagiwara finishes 78% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.