Kyohei Takagi vs Masatoshi Ueda
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kyohei Takagi72%
Masatoshi Ueda 28%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Takagi a 72% favorite over Masatoshi Ueda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Kyohei Takagi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1512, a 134-point edge.
Kyohei Takagi enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Masatoshi Ueda enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Takagi finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Masatoshi Ueda 32%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record22-14-3
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Kyohei Takagi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Masatoshi Ueda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1661
If they lose-33→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1528
If they lose-8→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kyohei TakagiMasatoshi Ueda