Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Louis Gaudinot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-6-0Record8-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
66"ReachTBD
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Louis Gaudinot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1800
If they win+5→ 1805
If they lose-19→ 1781
Louis GaudinotNow 1560
If they win+26→ 1586
If they lose-6→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
47%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.42
64%
Strike defense
49%
1.61
Takedown avg.
0.57
41%
Takedown accuracy
40%
61%
Takedown defense
31%
0.11
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Kyoji HoriguchiLouis Gaudinot
1600170018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
6 (17%)
Submission
2 (25%)
15 (42%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyoji Horiguchi92%
Louis Gaudinot 8%Elo baseline: 80%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyoji Horiguchi a 92% favorite over Louis Gaudinot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).

Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1560, a 240-point edge.

Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Louis Gaudinot 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.