Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Neil Seery

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Seery
ie

Neil Seery

“2 Tap”

16-13-0FlyweightUFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

36-6-0Record16-13-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach64,0"
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Ryano MMA

What's at stake

Kyoji Horiguchi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Neil Seery carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1800
If they win+5→ 1805
If they lose-19→ 1781
Neil SeeryNow 1579
If they win+19→ 1598
If they lose-5→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
47%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
64%
Strike defense
59%
1.61
Takedown avg.
0.78
41%
Takedown accuracy
28%
61%
Takedown defense
54%
0.11
Submission avg.
1.55

Trajectory

Kyoji HoriguchiNeil Seery
160017001800201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (42%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
6 (17%)
Submission
6 (38%)
15 (42%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyoji Horiguchi92%
Neil Seery 8%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyoji Horiguchi a 92% favorite over Neil Seery in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Kyoji Horiguchi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1579, a 221-point edge.

Neil Seery enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Neil Seery 75%.

Kyoji Horiguchi carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.