Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Tatsuro Taira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-6-0Record18-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach70"
134 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1684 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1801
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789
Tatsuro TairaNow 1791
If they win+16→ 1807
If they lose-16→ 1775

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
47%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
64%
Strike defense
47%
1.61
Takedown avg.
3.12
41%
Takedown accuracy
47%
61%
Takedown defense
45%
0.11
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Kyoji HoriguchiTatsuro Taira
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (42%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
6 (17%)
Submission
8 (44%)
15 (42%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Tatsuro Taira60%
Kyoji Horiguchi 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 60% favorite over Kyoji Horiguchi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyoji Horiguchi's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1801 vs 1791), separated by just 10 points.

Kyoji Horiguchi finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.

Tatsuro Taira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.