Lance Benoist vs Matthew Riddle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Matthew Riddle
Elo1583SolidTale of the tape
7-2-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
5'11"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
St. Charles MMATeamTBD
What's at stake
Lance Benoist is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matthew Riddle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1636
If they lose-18→ 1604
If they win+27→ 1610
If they lose-21→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lance BenoistMatthew Riddle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Benoist62%
Matthew Riddle 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Benoist a 62% favorite over Matthew Riddle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Lance Benoist holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1583, a 39-point edge.
Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lance Benoist finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Lance Benoist and Matthew Riddle share 1 common opponent: Sean Pierson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.