Combat Edge Intelligence

Lance Gibson Jr. vs Liam McCracken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach-
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gibson Kickboxing & PankrationTeamAspire Combat Sports Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lance Gibson Jr.Now 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Liam McCrackenNow 1655
If they win+24→ 1679
If they lose-24→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lance Gibson Jr.Liam McCracken
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam McCracken60%
Lance Gibson Jr. 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam McCracken a 60% favorite over Lance Gibson Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1655), separated by just 2 points.

Liam McCracken enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Lance Gibson Jr. finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Liam McCracken 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.