Lance Gibson Jr. vs Niko Samsonidse
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach-
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gibson Kickboxing & PankrationTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1608 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lance Gibson Jr.Niko Samsonidse
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Samsonidse57%
Lance Gibson Jr. 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 57% favorite over Lance Gibson Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1654), separated by just 1 points.
Lance Gibson Jr. finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Niko Samsonidse 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.