Lance Gibson Jr. vs Pat Audinwood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-2-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gibson Kickboxing & PankrationTeamTeam Bombsquad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lance Gibson Jr.Pat Audinwood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Gibson Jr.70%
Pat Audinwood 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Gibson Jr. a 70% favorite over Pat Audinwood in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pat Audinwood's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.
Pat Audinwood enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lance Gibson Jr. finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Pat Audinwood 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.