Combat Edge Intelligence

Lance Lawrence vs Marcelo Rojo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcelo Rojo
ar

Marcelo Rojo

“Pitbull”

17-10-0FeatherweightFFC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record17-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamEntram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lance LawrenceNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Marcelo RojoNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.87
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
9.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.42
25%
Strike defense
55%
1
Takedown avg.
0.46
100%
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lance LawrenceMarcelo Rojo
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
5 (63%)
Submission
6 (38%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Lance Lawrence53%
Marcelo Rojo 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lance Lawrence a 53% favorite over Marcelo Rojo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcelo Rojo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.

Lance Lawrence finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Rojo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.