Lance Lawrence vs Pengchao Feng
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamWanshi Fight Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
If they win+12→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lance LawrencePengchao Feng
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Lawrence52%
Pengchao Feng 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Lawrence a 52% favorite over Pengchao Feng in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1555), separated by just 0 points.
Pengchao Feng enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lance Lawrence finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Pengchao Feng 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.